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Report: Android to capture almost 50% market share by the end of 2012


Analysts have been predicting for months now that Google’s Android OS will become the number one mobile OS in the world by the end of this year. In the latest Gartner Research report they believe that Android will take commanding lead with 30.5% market share by the end of 2011 and skyrocket to almost 50% market share by the end of 2012. Following is Apple’s iOS platform with 19.02% market share in 2011 and slipping to 3rd place in 2015 to be beat out by Microsoft’s Windows Phone OS with 19.5% market share (thanks to the Nokia partnership). What about our Canadian pride Research in Mobile BlackBerry? Well, Gartner believes they will fall every year in market share to be at only 11.1%. The press release also stated that they estimate that worldwide smartphone sales to hit 468 million in 2011 (increase of 57.7% from 2010)

Source: Engadget

  • Bort

    Who cares? Isn’t this the 3rd time you guys have posted one of these in the last month? It’s getting old…We know: Android’s growing, iOS is growing, and WP7 is growing. RIM and Symbian are losing. Let’s move past these predictions.

    • zorxd

      WP7 might be growing but Microsoft, as a whole (including Windows Mobile and Windows Phone) lost market share since the launch of WP7

    • TheCyberKnight

      I sure do hope that Windows Mobile is losing market share. Although still supported, it is dead.

    • zorxd

      It’s still surprising to me that the growth of WP7 didn’t surpass the loss of Windows Mobile since the launch of WP7.

  • Keith

    Wow, that makes the two biggest heavyweights (IDC and Gartner) predicting that WP7 will grab 2nd spot in market share by 2015. Of course it’s an extremely hard market to predict right now so that may or may not happen but I do believe WP7′s share will rise significantly because it has too much going for it not to.

  • jellmoo

    I can’t help but wonder how much of that WP7 19.5% is supposed to be made up by Nokia devices. If it’s the overwhelming majority (which may be the case considering how other manufacturers have seemingly ignored the platform) it could indicate that they would be one of the most, if not *the* dominant smartphone manufacturer come 2015.

  • mongoose

    Yes, and little green bots will rise to takeover the world and enslave all of humanity by 2018. I can see it happening now. The Terminator prophecies were true.

  • Larabee

    i thought it was research in motion… not mobile :P

  • B-Side

    i like to see the 0.1% for the symbian…

  • jforce

    I don’t see how anyone can predict this far into the future in the super volatile smartphone industry. There’s no question that Android will dominate. I think RIM is totally underestimated here. With the release of the QNX powered PlayBook and upcoming smartphones later this year, they should not be counted out. Especially in the next couple of years as QNX makes its way onto their smartphone lineup.

    • zorxd

      The problem is that it’s hard to predict. We can’t be sure that current BB users will upgrade to QNX phones in the future.
      Just like we can’t say that current Nokia Symbian users will upgrade to Nokia WP7 in the future.
      QNX will be a new product. It may succeed, or not.

    • TheCyberKnight

      QNX, as the kernel, has nothing to do in this debate.

      The question is whether or not RIM will be able to build something compelling for users on top of it.
      With the current creative movement at RIM, it is likely not to happen. Meanwhile, the recent TAT acquisition may change the vibes in there. Hopefully for them.

    • zorxd

      QNX isn’t only a kernel, it’s a full unix-like OS.
      From what I understand, RIM isn’t only changing the kernel of their OS, they are building a new OS much like Microsoft did with WP7 (maybe without breaking application compatibility however)

    • jellmoo

      For QNX there are three questions:

      1) Has RIM made a good OS out of it (The PlayBook should be fairly indicative of this)?

      2) Can this OS be well transitioned to a smartphone?

      3) Will current Blackberry users transition along with it, or move to another OS?

      I honestly hope the answer to all questions is “yes” since I would like to see RIM succeed. But like everything, only time will tell, which is why these studies seem so baseless right now. There is just way too much transition going on to truly gauge where the market will end up. Too many assumptions are being made with too few facts.

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